···
← delfee

U.S. crude oil hits $100 for the first time since May

energy_supply_shockGlobalNBC News10 Sept, 14:01 UTC

Context

U.S. crude oil hits $100 for the first time since May  NBC News World in Brief: Iran and America trade more blows; ECB raises rates  economist.com Oil Extends Rally as Iran Says Ready for More Intense Conflict  Bloomberg.com U.S. Stocks Fall as War Escalation, Oil Spike Continue  WSJ ‘We worry now’: Oil tops $100, diesel hits record highs amid Iran war escalation  Fortune

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

Get the next signal the moment it breaks.

The full live feed, asset filters, and alerts — free.

Sign up free →

Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 10 Sept, 16:43 UTC