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Tehran hints at Hormuz talks with US as leaders gather at UN

geopolitical_negotiation_energyMiddle EastAl-Monitor22 Sept, 12:46 UTC

Context

By Samia Nakhoul and Parisa Hafezi DUBAI, Sept 22 (Reuters) - A senior Iranian official told Reuters on Tuesday that Iran could reopen the Strait of Hormuz to Gulf shipping within days if the US lifts its blockade, describing a gathering at the UN as a "golden opportunity" to renew diplomacy with Washington. US President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian are both due to attend the UN General Assembly in New York, the first time they will be at the same event since Trump launched "Operation Epic Fury" against Iran in February.

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 22 Sept, 12:48 UTC