'We're done': Ukraine resumes strikes on Russian oil refineries as 'only leverage' for peace talks
Context
Delano D'Souza is pleased to welcome Peter Zalmayev, Founder and Director of the Eurasia Democracy Initiative, LIVE from Kyiv. As Zelensky declares Ukraine "done" with Trump's self-declared energy ceasefire and resumes strikes on Russian oil refineries, Zalmayev warns: "When you talk about the energy ceasefire, it presupposes two to be able to tango and to dance this dance." He challenges the legitimacy of Trump's unilateral announcement, made without agreement between Moscow and Kyiv, as Russia continues attacking Ukraine's energy infrastructure. Yet he cautions that Zelensky may need tactical restraint to preserve vital US support. Zalmayev also examines Western sanctions, frozen Russian assets, and Washington's pursuit of economic normalization with Moscow without meaningful Russian concessions.
What it means
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
Get the next signal the moment it breaks.
The full live feed, asset filters, and alerts — free.
Sign up free →Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 15 Oct, 16:29 UTC