···
← delfee

Euro zone inflation is back above 3%. Higher interest rates are likely to follow

monetary_policyEuropeCNBC1 Sept, 09:56 UTC

Context

Euro zone inflation is back above 3%. Higher interest rates are likely to follow  CNBC Iran war could keep inflation high, ECB policymaker Rehn warns, FT reports  Reuters Eurozone Inflation Picks Up, Adding Fuel to Bond Selloff  WSJ ‘Conflict of attrition’ in Iran could keep inflation high, ECB policymaker warns  Financial Times Eurozone inflation jumps to 3.3% in August as energy prices surge  Euronews.com

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

Get the next signal the moment it breaks.

The full live feed, asset filters, and alerts — free.

Sign up free →

Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 1 Sept, 12:17 UTC