···
← delfee

Middle East live: Iran says Hormuz strait still closed despite transit corridor talks with Oman

energy_supply_shockMiddle EastFrance 2426 Aug, 06:04 UTC

Context

Tehran warned on Wednesday that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed unless the United States ends the war, despite discussions with Oman on a temporary transit corridor in the vital waterway. Washington had earlier announced fresh sanctions aimed at pressuring Iran to capitulate, with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent threatening the country with "economic asphyxiation". Follow our liveblog for the latest updates.

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

Get the next signal the moment it breaks.

The full live feed, asset filters, and alerts — free.

Sign up free →

Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 26 Aug, 06:17 UTC