Bloomberg Businessweek Daily: Navigating Global Risk (Podcast)
Context
The selloff in the US bond market deepened on Monday after President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, dampening hopes of a diplomatic breakthrough to end the war. The decline pushed most Treasury yields higher by nearly 10 basis points by noon in New York, with those on 10-year bonds climbing to a fresh 19-year high. Meantime, Iranian officials have privately expressed pessimism about reaching a deal to end hostilities with Washington and reopen the Strait of Hormuz before US midterm elections in November. On today's episode: Patrick Murphy, Executive Director at Hilco Global Geopolitical Unit, former Acting Secretary of the Army & US Congressman Bob Chapek, former Disney CEO Rebecca Walser, Founder & CIO at Walser Wealth Management Ed Ludlow, 'Bloomberg Tech' Host (Source: Bloomberg)
What it means
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
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Sign up free →Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 28 Sept, 22:43 UTC