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Live updates: US carries out more strikes on Iran and begins blockade of Iranian ports

military_conflictMiddle EastCNN14 Jul, 22:50 UTC

Context

Live updates: US carries out more strikes on Iran and begins blockade of Iranian ports  CNN 'Enough Is Enough': Lawmakers Criticize Trump Over Resumption of Iran War  Time Magazine In a First, U.S. Forces Used Naval Drones in Combat Operations  The New York Times US carries out more strikes on Iran and resumes blockade of nation’s ports – Middle East crisis live  The Guardian US resumes Iran naval blockade, launches fourth straight day of strikes over Strait of Hormuz  The Times of India

What it means

No call: the only market channels here were low-conviction — below our selectivity bar, where the track record shows no reliable edge.

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 14 Jul, 23:15 UTC