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Iran school bombing: grounds to believe US was behind atrocity, UN finds

military_conflictMiddle EastThe Guardian17 Sept, 09:05 UTC

Context

Fact-finding mission says military strikes on school and sports facility in ⁠February constitute war ⁠crimes A UN fact-finding mission on Iran has said there are reasonable grounds to believe the US was behind two military strikes on a school and sports facility in Iran in ⁠February, and that these constituted war ⁠crimes. It also found Iranian ​authorities committed crimes against humanity during their deadly crackdown on anti-government protests. Continue reading...

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 17 Sept, 09:28 UTC