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South Korea Turns Back to Coal as LNG Crisis Deepens

energy_supply_shockAsiaOilPrice16 Oct, 10:30 UTC

Context

Soaring prices of spot LNG supply amid the lack of Middle Eastern deliveries have pushed South Korea to rely more on coal-fired power generation in the coming winter, despite its pledge to shift away from fossil fuels. Like all other Asian importers, South Korea, the world’s third-largest LNG buyer after China and Japan, has been hit by the Middle East crisis and the lack of Qatari LNG supply. Soaring spot LNG prices for supply not needing the Strait of Hormuz have made running gas-fired plants uneconomical compared to coal.   In the…

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 16 Oct, 10:34 UTC