Iran says the Strait of Hormuz is shut down. The Trump administration says 9 million barrels a day are still getting out
energy_supply_shockMiddle EastFortune14 Aug, 16:54 UTC
Context
Iran says the Strait of Hormuz is shut down. The Trump administration says 9 million barrels a day are still getting out Fortune The Trump administration claims oil is flowing normally again. There’s just one problem CNN Oil prices fall after U.S. says crude exports through Strait of Hormuz near 9 million barrels per day CNBC The US says more oil is leaving the Middle East, but is it really? Reuters For the Oil Market, the Strait of Hormuz Isn’t Closed Bloomberg.com
What it means
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
Get the next signal the moment it breaks.
The full live feed, asset filters, and alerts — free.
Sign up free →Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 4h ago