The Secret Houthi-U.S. Deal That Could Push Saudi Arabia Back to Beijing
energy_supply_shockMiddle EastOilPrice21 Sept, 15:00 UTC
Context
Back at the start of the U.S.’s ‘Operation Epic Fury’, OilPrice.com predicted three courses of action that Iran would take as it moved through the conflict escalation gears. First, most obviously, although apparently not to President Donald Trump’s team, was to close the Strait of Hormuz to cause oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG) and refined products prices to soar -- check. Second, was to launch attacks on Saudi Arabian oil infrastructure via the Tehran-backed Yemeni Houthis to further inflate energy prices and undermine…
What it means
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
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Sign up free →Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 21 Sept, 15:03 UTC