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CPI report today: Hotter-than-expected ‘core’ inflation boosts chances of Fed rate hike — live updates

monetary_policyUnited StatesMarketWatch11 Sept, 14:54 UTC

Context

CPI report today: Hotter-than-expected ‘core’ inflation boosts chances of Fed rate hike — live updates  MarketWatch Friday's CPI inflation report is even more important than usual. Here's what to expect  CNBC U.S. inflation accelerated last month as gas prices spiked, squeezing Americans' finances  PBS Stock Market Today: Dow Opens Higher; Odds of Rate Hike Jump After Inflation Report — Live Updates  WSJ CPI Report Live Updates: Elevated Inflation Keeps Pressure on Fed to Raise Interest Rates  The New York Times

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 11 Sept, 15:48 UTC