Watch live: Warsh gives key speech at Jackson Hole amid inflation, bond jitters
monetary_policyUnited StatesThe Hill28 Aug, 13:00 UTC
Context
Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will deliver a pivotal speech Friday at the central bank's annual economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyo. The remarks come as the Fed grapples with persistent inflation and an increasingly jittery bond market. The 30-year Treasury yield hit a 19-year high last week before briefly falling after Treasury Secretary Scott...
What it means
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
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Sign up free →Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 28 Aug, 13:17 UTC