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← delfee

Warsh's regime change at the Fed pushes ahead – and meets resistance

monetary_policyUnited StatesCNBC25 Sept, 10:30 UTC

Context

Warsh's regime change at the Fed pushes ahead – and meets resistance  CNBC Can Warsh tighten financial conditions without engineering a stock market fall?  Financial Times Warsh’s credibility rises on Wall Street as Bessent’s slips  The Hill Kevin Warsh Fed reform: rate hike done, balance sheet cuts stalled  qz.com What’s Ahead for the Warsh Fed?  American Enterprise Institute - AEI

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 25 Sept, 15:48 UTC