Will Philippine Sea be the main battlefield for PLA carriers in a Taiwan war?
military_conflictAsia-PacificSCMP3h ago
Context
For decades, the Philippine Sea has been seen as the gateway through which US and allied forces would sail to Taiwan’s defence in a war with the Chinese mainland. But with the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) increasingly pushing into the western Pacific, experts say Beijing would seek to place aircraft carriers in the waters east of Taiwan to complicate any intervention. Rather than a gateway, the Philippine Sea could be a critical battleground. Northeast Asia is home to land-based missile...
What it means
Causal chain
No clear market signal
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- Direction
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- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
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