Businessweek Daily: The Fed Raises Rates (Podcast)
Context
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter percentage point and penciled in an additional hike later this year, steps aimed at containing inflation that will test Chairman Kevin Warsh’s relationship with President Donald Trump. Following the US central bank’s first rate increase since July 2023, Warsh restated his concerns over inflation, saying too many categories of products and services were showing annualized price gains above 3% on a 6- and 12-month basis. On today's episode: Michael McKee, Bloomberg News International Economics & Policy Correspondent Stephanie Aliaga, Global Market Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management Manju Boraiah, Head of Systematic Fixed Income & Custom SMA Portfolio Management at Allspring Global Investments Tracy Alloway and Joe Weisenthal, Co-Hosts of Bloomberg's Odd Lots Podcast (Source: Bloomberg)
What it means
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
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