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U.S. economy slowed to 1.5% growth rate in Q2; June core inflation at 3.3%

economic_growth_slowdownUnited StatesCNBC30 Jul, 12:33 UTC

Context

U.S. economy slowed to 1.5% growth rate in Q2; June core inflation at 3.3%  CNBC U.S. Economic Growth Slowed to 1.5% in Second Quarter  WSJ US economy slowed more than expected as the Iran war took hold  ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos US economic growth slows unexpectedly in second quarter  Fox Business US economy’s growth was weaker than expected in the second quarter  CNN

What it means

No call: the only market channels here were low-conviction — below our selectivity bar, where the track record shows no reliable edge.

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 30 Jul, 14:00 UTC