Kevin Hassett Thinks Ignoring the Dismal Jobs Numbers Makes Them Disappear
labor_market_weaknessUnited StatesTalking Points Memo5h ago
Context
Kevin Hassett Thinks Ignoring the Dismal Jobs Numbers Makes Them Disappear Talking Points Memo 'Very little to like': Wall Street assesses surprise July jobs report as stocks jump Yahoo Finance The Fed was expected to hike interest rates in September. Don't bet on that now, economists say. CBS News Labor Market Shifts Into Reverse as Employers Balk at Hiring The New York Times How the weak jobs report could make inflation harder to manage CNN
What it means
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
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Sign up free →Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 5h ago