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Rostov Oil Terminal Burns for Third Day After Reported Ukrainian Drone Attack

energy_supply_shockGlobalThe Moscow Times12 Oct, 14:40 UTC

Context

Rostov Oil Terminal Burns for Third Day After Reported Ukrainian Drone Attack  The Moscow Times Trump’s Ex-Envoy Says Ukraine Should Be Free to Strike Russia  Bloomberg.com How Ukraine uses precision drone strikes to hobble Russian oil refineries  The Washington Post Trump’s deal with Putin will not deter Zelensky from playing his strongest card  The Telegraph ‘You’re Not Winning This Fight’: Kellogg Says Putin Shows Weakness as War Drags On  Kyiv Post

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 13 Oct, 08:43 UTC