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Six months in six charts: Here's how the Iran war has affected you

military_conflictMiddle EastUSA Today26 Aug, 21:03 UTC

Context

Six months in six charts: Here's how the Iran war has affected you  USA Today How the Iran war could end up causing a burst of deflation  Business Insider Why Iran Might Escalate  Foreign Policy Watch Oil Analysis: How the World and Energy Markets Adapted to the Strait of Hormuz Crisis  Bloomberg.com The Iran War at Six Months: Energy, Markets, and National Security  CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 26 Aug, 23:47 UTC