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Live updates: Iran says Hormuz deal is close but US must meet commitments before strait reopens

energy_supply_shockMiddle EastCNN3h ago

Context

Live updates: Iran says Hormuz deal is close but US must meet commitments before strait reopens  CNN August 6, 2026 — Trump says US has ‘massive amounts’ of munitions after reports of low stockpile  CNN Iran Seeks Hormuz Shipping Restrictions  bloomberg.com Oil rises on concerns over Strait of Hormuz reopening plans  Reuters Possible Strait of Hormuz deal, a large attack in Yemen and other Mideast news  apnews.com

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 3h ago