US-Iran strikes: latest developments
Context
US President Donald Trump on Wednesday pledged to stage tit-for-tat bomb attacks on Iranian civil infrastructure every time Tehran fired at ships in the strategic Strait of Hormuz. Trump threatens payback US President Donald Trump threatened to knock out one Iranian bridge or power plant in return for each attack on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, warning he was "not finished" with a war that has already cost Washington $37.5 billion.
What it means
No call: the only market channels here were low-conviction — below our selectivity bar, where the track record shows no reliable edge.
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
Get the next signal the moment it breaks.
The full live feed, asset filters, and alerts — free.
Sign up free →Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 22 Jul, 17:35 UTC