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Yen Bulls Loaded Up into BOJ as Euro Shorts Hit 11-Year Extreme| COT report

monetary_policyJapanForex Factory2 Nov, 01:22 UTC

Context

Yen Bulls Loaded Up into BOJ as Euro Shorts Hit 11-Year Extreme| COT report  Forex Factory Bank of Japan Declares Inflation Win, Clearing Way for Rate Hikes  WSJ Yen set for third straight daily gain against dollar after BOJ holds rates  Reuters BOJ holds rates as underlying inflation aligns with 2% target for first time since 2013  CNBC BOJ Says Japan’s Inflation Trend Hits 2% Target as it Holds Rates  Bloomberg

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 2 Nov, 06:14 UTC