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← delfee

Trump used to say he saw a quick end to his Iran war, but 6 months later he claims he's in no hurry

geopolitical_tension_middle_eastMiddle EastAP News28 Aug, 15:53 UTC

Context

Trump used to say he saw a quick end to his Iran war, but 6 months later he claims he's in no hurry  AP News US-Iran war reaches 6-month mark as Strait of Hormuz tensions remain high  Fox News Trump oo sheegay in Iiraan ay "baryayso in heshiis la gaaro", halka Tehran ay xaqiijisay in "cadaadisku uusan waxba tari doonin"  BBC Oil rises 2% as White House says no US-Iran talks happening  CNBC Iran Talks Sputter as Trump Spurns a Return to His June Deal  WSJ

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 28 Aug, 17:02 UTC