···
← delfee

Who are the economic winners and losers of the US-Israel war on Iran?

military_conflictMiddle EastAl Jazeera31 Aug, 12:17 UTC

Context

Who are the economic winners and losers of the US-Israel war on Iran?  Al Jazeera ‘Economic D-Day’ policy flops, as Trump and Bessent suffer another embarrassment  MS NOW Opinion | A Realistic Look at the Iran War  WSJ Sanctions and bombs won’t end the war in Iran. Trump is running out of options against an intractable foe  The Conversation Your Iran Questions, Answered  The New York Times

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

Get the next signal the moment it breaks.

The full live feed, asset filters, and alerts — free.

Sign up free →

Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 1 Sept, 22:47 UTC