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Live Updates: Iran says "ball is in the U.S. court" on deal to end war as Trump keeps his intentions veiled

geopolitical_tensions_middle_eastMiddle EastCBS News2h ago

Context

Live Updates: Iran says "ball is in the U.S. court" on deal to end war as Trump keeps his intentions veiled  CBS News Iran war live: Tehran says Hormuz ‘security restored’ if US agrees to plan  Al Jazeera Iran Says It Would Reopen Strait of Hormuz in 2 Days as Part of U.S. Deal  The New York Times Live - Khamenei grants 'certain authority' for US peace talks, Pezeshkian says  Iran International Iran says contacts over ending war continue as talks end with no breakthrough  Reuters

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 2h ago