Zelenskyy to make unexpected visit to Berlin for talks with Merz – Europe live
Context
Merz said the German push to increase defence spending was triggered by Zelenskyy and Trump’s meeting last year Before arriving in Berlin, Ukraine’s Zelenskyy condemned Russia’s overnight attacks on critical infrastructure across the country, which he said were causing “emergency and unscheduled power outages”. He said the attacks – which involved 289 drones, 59 cruise missiles and 17 ballistic missiles – also hit civilian buildings, including a city hospital in Kharkiv, where 73 people were injured. “A rescue operation has also been underway since yesterday in Komyshuvakha, in the Zaporizhzhia region. Tragically, the death toll has risen. Russia has killed 29 people.” “It is very telling that all of this is happening on the day of the US congressional elections. The Russians believe that America will not notice this signal from them. But such terror must be noticed and stopped. Ukraine must be helped to defend its skies, otherwise Russia will never stop its missile strikes. It is essential to help build peace honestly and reliably, and America can do that.” Continue reading...
What it means
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
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