U.S. Refinery Utilization Hits 96.2% as Fuel Markets Tighten Worldwide
Context
U.S. refinery utilization has been near-capacity for weeks, with American fuel exports jumping to record high levels amid tight global fuel markets in the wake of the Iran war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The average refinery capacity utilization across the United States was 96.2% as of July 17, the latest reporting week available, up from 94.7% in the same week in 2025, according to data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). The average may be just above 96% nationwide, but the Midwest and Rocky Mountains regions,…
What it means
No call: the only market channels here were low-conviction — below our selectivity bar, where the track record shows no reliable edge.
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
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Sign up free →Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 23 Jul, 12:35 UTC