Bond Veteran Jim Bianco Still Bullish As Yields Soar
Context
A move higher in oil is putting even more pressure on bonds, with yields hitting new milestones in a number of markets including the UK and the US. The UK’s long-term borrowing costs hit 6% for the first time in almost three decades whilst the 10-year Treasury note climbed to the highest since 2002. It comes as government debt has been flailing around the world as uncertainty — tied to the war in the Middle East — ripples through the global economy, pushing investors to bet central banks will further raise interest rates. But bond veteran Jim Bianco, President and Founder of Bianco Research, is bullish on US sovereign debt on the basis of value generation. He discusses the reasoning behind his position with Caroline Hepker and Nathan Hager. (Source: Bloomberg)
What it means
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
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Sign up free →Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 1 Oct, 11:18 UTC