Iran weighed firing ballistic missiles at Ukraine after strike on Iranian ship
Context
Iran weighed firing ballistic missiles at Ukraine after strike on Iranian ship The Jerusalem Post Iran Considered Retaliatory Strike on Ukrainian Seaport The New York Times Two Wars Converge in the Caspian Sea as Ukraine Hits Iranian Supply Line to Russia WSJ Kyiv warns Iran against escalation after Ukraine’s Caspian Sea attack Al Jazeera Zelensky Responds to Iran’s Threat: ‘They Have Already Attacked Us’ Kyiv Post
What it means
No call: the only market channels here were low-conviction — below our selectivity bar, where the track record shows no reliable edge.
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
Get the next signal the moment it breaks.
The full live feed, asset filters, and alerts — free.
Sign up free →Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 30 Jul, 07:39 UTC