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EN DIRECT, guerre au Moyen-Orient : Bahreïn dénonce des attaques iraniennes ; la Jordanie déclare avoir intercepté 7 missiles et 6 drones iraniens

military_conflictMiddle EastLe Monde24 Jul, 13:19 UTC

Context

Le détroit d’Ormuz « reste ouvert au transit malgré les récentes attaques menées par le corps des gardiens de la révolution islamique iranien », selon l’armée américaine, qui a affirmé avoir ciblé la nuit dernière des centres de commandement militaires et des sites de stockage de drones.

What it means

No call: the only market channels here were low-conviction — below our selectivity bar, where the track record shows no reliable edge.

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 24 Jul, 13:23 UTC