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Ukraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv says more than 100 Russian ships in Azov hit in nine days

energy_supply_shockEuropeThe Independent15 Jul, 05:49 UTC

Context

Ukraine-Russia war latest: Kyiv says more than 100 Russian ships in Azov hit in nine days  The Independent Maps: Ukrainian drone strikes choke Russian shipping in the Sea of Azov  Reuters Ukraine Says It Hit Russian Oil and Gas Tankers in the Black Sea  Bloomberg.com Ukrainian drones batter Russian oil facilities and set more oil tankers ablaze  AP News Russia Says Ukraine Struck Tanker in Sea of Azov  The Moscow Times

What it means

No call: the only market channels here were low-conviction — below our selectivity bar, where the track record shows no reliable edge.

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 15 Jul, 09:15 UTC