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Israel told U.S. of Iranian plot to assassinate Trump, new report says

geopolitical_tensionsMiddle EastCBS News10 Jul, 13:05 UTC

Context

The conflict between the U.S. and Iran is intensifying as the two trade missile strikes. Meanwhile, Israel warned the U.S. of an Iranian assassination plot against President Trump, according to new reporting from The Wall Street Journal. Charlie D'Agata has more.

What it means

No call: the only market channels here were low-conviction — below our selectivity bar, where the track record shows no reliable edge.

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 10 Jul, 13:15 UTC