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Scoop: Trump to hold Iran talks with Gulf leaders next week

geopolitical_negotiation_middle_eastMiddle EastAxios1h ago

Context

President Trump is expected to meet Gulf leaders on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York next Tuesday to discuss the next steps in the war with Iran, three sources with direct knowledge tell Axios. Why it matters: The meeting is expected to focus on U.S. ideas for a postwar strategy as Trump and his senior team work on a day-after plan expected to be finalized after the midterms. What we're watching: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu also wants to meet Trump in New York, but no meeting has been scheduled, an Israeli source said. Flashback: Last year, Trump met during the UN General Assembly with leaders from eight Arab and Muslim countries and presented them with his draft Gaza peace plan. He presented it publicly a week later. A deal to end the war was reached shortly afterward." Context: Gulf countries that host U.S. military bases suffered major Iranian attacks during the war as well as significant economic losses from disruptions to oil and natural gas exports." Driving the news: Trump said on Wednesday that "hopefully we are towards the end of the war. Trump claimed again that Iran wants to make a deal and said the U.S. heard it from Iran directly. State of play: The sources said Trump will meet with leaders or foreign ministers from the Gulf Cooperation Council countries — Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait and Oman. The White House declined to comment. What's next: The State Department sent out initial invitations on Wednesday. One of the sources said the meeting could expand to include other Arab and Muslim leaders.

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 1h ago