Tuesday briefing: What the Simon Levy case tells us about the women the justice system keeps failing
Context
In today’s newsletter: The women most at risk of violence are often the least likely to be heard – the murder of two sex workers shows why that must change Good morning. Last week, Simon Levy, a registered sex offender, was sentenced to a rare whole life tariff for the murders of Carmenza Valencia-Trujillo and Sheryl Wilkins. Both women, as well as others targeted by Levy, were vulnerable and involved in sex work. This was no coincidence: in the sentencing remarks, it was noted that Levy – who had a history of sexual offending dating back to 2018 – selected women who sold sex as his victims because he believed he could get away with it. UK politics | Reform UK’s deputy leader Richard Tice dismissed efforts to tackle climate breakdown, urging British people to “enjoy” the summer heatwaves. US news | Donald Trump issued a threat to bomb Oman if the country ‘gets in the way’ of ending the US-Israel war on Iran. World news | The Ebola outbreak in DR Congo is now the deadliest in the country’s history, with at least 2,325 dead from the virus, according to official data. Jason Arday | Tens of thousands of people gathered in Trafalgar Square in London to remember and pay tribute to Jason Arday, the former Cambridge professor who died on Friday. Housing | Half of homes in Great Britain are taking longer to sell than last year as volatile conditions in the mortgage market amid the Iran war prompt buyers to “wait and see” if they can get a better deal, according to a report. Continue reading...
What it means
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
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