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US consumer confidence near 12-1/2-year low amid labor market fears

consumer_sentiment_shockUnited StatesReuters29 Sept, 18:28 UTC

Context

US consumer confidence near 12-1/2-year low amid labor market fears  Reuters Consumer optimism slides to lowest since 2014 as fears escalate over rising prices and jobs  CNBC Americans growing more pessimistic about the economy as prices for gas, other items remain elevated  ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos US Consumer Confidence Plunges to Lowest Level Since 2014  Bloomberg.com Consumer confidence sags to 12-year low, eroded by inflation, job anxiety  CFO Dive

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 30 Sept, 02:33 UTC