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Two More Oil Tankers Attacked Near Strait of Hormuz

energy_supply_shockMiddle EastOilPrice12 Oct, 05:30 UTC

Context

Two more tankers were attacked near the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, one in Hormuz and the other off the coast of Oman, Argus has reported, citing ship-tracking data and the Indian shipping minister. One of the targets was a Suezmax loaded with Iraqi crude, which had set sail on October 8, the Indian top shipping official said. It was hit by an unknown projectile that caused fire on board and, at the time of writing, two sailors were still missing.  The other tanker was a product carrier that was hit by a drone. That attack was reported earlier…

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 12 Oct, 05:33 UTC