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U.S. Diesel Prices Surge Toward All-Time High

energy_price_spikeUnited StatesOilPrice3 Sept, 15:00 UTC

Context

The average price of diesel in the United States hit $5.7832 per gallon on Thursday, which is just three cents lower than the record-high of $5.8159 in mid-June 2022, when the Russian invasion of Ukraine sent fuel prices to record highs, data from AAA showed. The U.S. national average gasoline price is about $1 per gallon below the all-time high of $5.0165 from June 2022, but at over $4.10 a gallon now, the gasoline price is the highest it has been at this time of year, and is $1 higher than the average $3 before the war in Iran began at the end…

What it means

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 3 Sept, 15:02 UTC