U.S.-Iran Latest: Attacks continue over control of Strait of Hormuz as Tehran calls diplomacy "futile"
Context
U.S.-Iran Latest: Attacks continue over control of Strait of Hormuz as Tehran calls diplomacy "futile" CBS News The US was overconfident before the war. Iran may be overconfident now. vox.com The U.S. and Iran are locked in a power struggle over the Strait of Hormuz NBC News Iran live updates: US-Iran deal in 'crisis stage' after strikes, Tehran official says ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos July 11, 2026 — US strikes Iran after ship attack in Strait of Hormuz CNN
What it means
No call: the only market channels here were low-conviction — below our selectivity bar, where the track record shows no reliable edge.
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
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Sign up free →Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 13 Jul, 11:30 UTC