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Trump wants ‘a head for an eye’ in Iran — not ‘eye for an eye,’ Rubio says

military_conflictMiddle EastNew York Post23 Jul, 13:53 UTC

Context

Trump wants ‘a head for an eye’ in Iran — not ‘eye for an eye,’ Rubio says  New York Post Rubio accuses Iran of flying IRGC personnel into Yemen as Houthi threat escalates  Fox News Iran's demands over the Strait of Hormuz would set a dangerous precedent, Rubio warns Asian leaders  AP News Rubio Warns Tehran As Iran Hits Kuwait Bases, Houthis Strike Tankers  Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty Rubio says Iran ‘begging’ for a deal with US but not ready to make one  Al Jazeera

What it means

No call: the only market channels here were low-conviction — below our selectivity bar, where the track record shows no reliable edge.

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 24 Jul, 11:48 UTC