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US attacks Iran for 13th night as Trump threatens ‘bigger’ strikes

military_conflictMiddle EastAl Jazeera24 Jul, 06:55 UTC

Context

US attacks Iran for 13th night as Trump threatens ‘bigger’ strikes  Al Jazeera July 23, 2026 — Oil tops $100 a barrel, Houthi attack in Red Sea marks new escalation  CNN Iran war live: Iranian drones target Erbil, as 4 dead in US strike on Ahvaz  Al Jazeera US military launches new strikes on Iran as clashes escalate over shipping routes  AP News US military says it completed 13th consecutive night of strikes on Iran  Reuters

What it means

No call: the only market channels here were low-conviction — below our selectivity bar, where the track record shows no reliable edge.

Causal chain

No clear market signal

How to read a signal
Severity
the event's market impact, 1–5
Direction
/ likely price move for the asset
Exp. move
the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:
Ssmall<1%
Mmoderate1–5%
Llarge>5%
Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).
Timeframe
the window we measure over:
1dshort
5dmedium
21dlong
Conviction
how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:
low
average
strong

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Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 24 Jul, 10:53 UTC