US & Iran Trade Fresh Strikes, SK Hynix Shares Fall Most on Record | The Opening Trade 7/13/2026
Context
Oil gained after the US carried out another wave of strikes against Iran, with the two sides disputing whether the Strait of Hormuz was open. Global benchmark Brent earlier approached $80, before paring some of the increase. The US on Sunday struck dozens of targets to degrade Iran’s ability to attack international shipping through the waterway. Iran said the strait would be closed “until further notice,” though Western navies insisted it remained open. South Korea’s AI-fueled stock rally came under renewed pressure Monday as SK Hynix tumbled by a record 15%, underscoring growing investor concerns that the boom had become overstretched. The Opening Trade has everything you need to know as markets open across Europe. With analysis you won't find anywhere else, we break down the biggest stories of the day and speak to top guests who have skin in the game. Hosted by Anna Edwards and Tom Mackenzie. (Source: Bloomberg)
What it means
No call: the only market channels here were low-conviction — below our selectivity bar, where the track record shows no reliable edge.
Causal chain
No clear market signal
How to read a signal
- Severity
- the event's market impact, 1–5
- Direction
- ↑ / ↓ likely price move for the asset
- Exp. move
- the size of the abnormal move we'd expect if the call plays out — not a claim a move will happen:Most flagged events don't move beyond noise; those count against us (see the track record).Ssmall<1%Mmoderate1–5%Llarge>5%
- Timeframe
- the window we measure over:1dshort5dmedium21dlong
- Conviction
- how well-established the directional call is (textbook → speculative) — not a guaranteed outcome:lowaveragestrong
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Sign up free →Not investment advice · for informational purposes only. Generated 13 Jul, 11:35 UTC